$20,000: Forecasting Our World in Data
Our World in Data (OWID) is one of the world’s largest open online repositories of data, and it's an incredible source of information about both humanity’s progress and challenges. Your forecasts will be used to generate likelihoods of specific outcomes in humanity’s near- and long-term future. And throughout the tournament, a team of Metaculus Pro Forecasters will also predict alongside the public tournament.
A $20,000 prize pool will reward accurate forecasts on 1 and 3-year outcomes and insightful comments on 10, 30, and 100-year outcomes.